Posts tagged “economy”

August 26th, 2011
August 18th, 2011
August 12th, 2011

Nouriel Roubini, NYU economist and founder of Roubini Global Economics, talks about the general state of the global financial system, the US economy, and economic theory. 

“Marx said it right that at some point, capitalism can self-destroy itself” and “that markets are not working,” says Roubini, who is by no means an orthodox Marxist.

This is a very interesting interview for those wanting an overview of the central economic issues facing today’s policymakers.

Enjoy.

August 11th, 2011
August 7th, 2011
August 5th, 2011

A Potential Downgrade from S&P

by Jordan Eizenga

News outlets are reporting that government officials expect Standard and Poors - a major credit rating agency - to downgrade the United States sovereign credit rating. S&P’s decision to downgrade the United States is being reported by  ABC News’ Jake Tapper as follows:

Officials reasons given will be the political confusion surrounding the process of raising the debt ceiling, and lack of confidence that the political system will be able to agree to more deficit reduction. A source says Republicans saying that they refuse to accept any tax increases as part of a larger deal will be part of the reason cited.

If these reports are accurate, the credit rating agencies are just acknowledging what everyone else should know by now: the federal government, particularly Congress, is not functioning in any way that should give us confidence that it will respond to pressing problems.

Read More

August 4th, 2011
July 26th, 2011
July 20th, 2011

by Michael Linden and Jordan Eizenga

(For a link to the original article, see here).

On August 2, if Congress fails to raise the debt limit, the United States will have its credit rating downgraded, interest rates will likely rise dramatically, and the federal government will be forced to immediately cut nearly 40 percent from its budget, which could plunge the American economy back into a deep recession. The damage will be enormous, and no sector of the economy will be immune—least of all, the states.

Each year the federal government funds hundreds of billions of dollars in state services. These include employment and training programs, emergency fire services for rural communities, hazardous waste removal, wildlife conservation, health care services, and even programs to provide bulletproof vests to local law enforcement, to name a few. In fact, state governments rely on the federal government for between 25 percent and 50 percent of their revenue. These services will find themselves on the chopping block if the debt ceiling is not raised.

We don’t know which state programs would be cut, but the Bipartisan Policy Center, or BPC, has outlined two scenarios for how the Treasury Department might prioritize payments for certain programs over others if the debt ceiling isn’t raised. In the first, Treasury prioritizes payments on big-ticket items such as Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and defense. In the second, Treasury still protects Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, but swaps out defense for important safety net programs such as food stamps and special education grants.

States stand to lose big under either scenario. We used Census data from 2009 on federal spending for state grants—the most recent year available—and monthly Treasury reports to estimate the amount of federal funding each state could lose under both BPC scenarios assuming the debt ceiling remains frozen throughout August and September. The results weren’t pretty. Altogether, states could lose up to $56 billion in funding just in those two months under the first scenario and $36 billion under the second.

The map above shows that no state would be spared by these cuts. Each stands to lose hundreds of millions of dollars in federal funding if the debt limit isn’t increased regardless of how Treasury decides to prioritize payments.

July 18th, 2011
Loading tweets...

@BroaderMarket